February 2024

Global data near forecasts; RPI at minus 5 and RPI-P at minus 6

By Jeremy Hawkins|2024-02-02T08:16:57-08:00February 2, 2024|

Global economic data on net are coming in very near Econoday’s consensus forecasts and very near the breakeven line for the Relative Performance Index (RPI), at minus 5 overall and minus 6 when excluding prices [...]

January 2024

High points for US economic data scheduled for January 22 week

By Theresa Sheehan|2024-01-19T11:50:46-08:00January 19, 2024|

The communications blackout period around the January 30-31 FOMC meeting goes into effect at midnight on Saturday, January 20 and lasts through midnight on Thursday, February 1. At this writing, Fed officials have pretty much [...]

Global data modestly ahead of forecasts, but US substantially ahead

By Jeremy Hawkins|2024-01-19T07:59:51-08:00January 19, 2024|

Underpinned by the US, global economic data are coming in slightly ahead of expectations, at 11 for the Relative Performance Index. When excluding prices (RPI-P), the index eases slightly to 5 and very near the [...]

Reconciling the New York and Philadelphia manufacturing surveys

By Theresa Sheehan|2024-01-18T07:07:40-08:00January 18, 2024|

On Tuesday, January 16, the general business conditions index in the New York Fed’s Empire State survey of manufacturing plunged 29.2 points to minus 43.7 in the January report. On Thursday, January 18, the Philadelphia [...]