On Monday, April 24, the Census Bureau issued annual revisions to the retail sales data. The revisions stretch back through 2010 but with negligible differences over most of that time. They are, however, more noticeable starting in 2021. Broadly, the dollar value of retail and food services sales was lower than previously reported. This will mean some downward revisions in the pace of personal consumption expenditures in the GDP numbers. It should not mean significantly slower overall GDP growth for past quarters but it could lower some forecasts for the advance estimate of first quarter GDP for 2023 when these numbers are published on Thursday, April 27 at 8:30 ET.
Retail sales see downward revisions in recent months
About the Author: Theresa Sheehan
Terry has followed the US economic data for over 35 years. First working with economic databases at McGraw/Hill-Data Resources, then as an economic data reporter at Market News International, and later as an analyst at Stone McCarthy Research Associates.
She is deeply familiar with the major high-frequency data reports that drive the financial news cycle. She has followed the ins-and-out of the Board of Governors and District Bank Presidents, and developments in monetary policy as conditions have changed since the Volcker years.
Terry is a graduate of the University of Maryland University College with bachelor’s degrees in English, Information Management, and Psychology.