Global data missing forecasts; US and China lagging

The global Relative Performance Index (RPI) stands at minus 12 and at minus 21 less prices (RPI-P), the latter indicating that firmer-than-expected inflation reports are lifting the overall score.The US score, sagging since April’s lower-than-expected [...]

By Jeremy Hawkins|2024-05-31T09:17:00-07:00May 31, 2024|

Recap of changes in Fed’s program to reduce reserve holdings

Back at his March 20 post-FOMC meeting press brief, Chair Jerome Powell signaled that discussions regarding the program to reduce the Fed’s holdings of US treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities were well advance and would [...]

By Theresa Sheehan|2024-05-31T06:44:21-07:00May 31, 2024|

Global data hitting forecasts; Global Policy Rate steady at 4.35 percent

Global economic data continue on net to come in very near expectations, at minus 3 for the Relative Performance Index and at minus 5 less prices (RPI-P). These readings suggest no jolts for Econoday’s Global [...]

By Jeremy Hawkins|2024-05-24T12:19:35-07:00May 24, 2024|

Revival in goods price inflation will make disinflation progress harder

With the next round of inflation reports on the near horizon, markets should be prepared for a disappointment that, following April’s employment report, may well erase the uptick in rate-cut expectations.The bottom line is that [...]

By Theresa Sheehan|2024-05-09T08:38:56-07:00May 9, 2024|